{"id":83509,"date":"2023-01-23T03:45:15","date_gmt":"2023-01-23T08:45:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.sitata.com\/?p=83509"},"modified":"2023-02-03T11:55:02","modified_gmt":"2023-02-03T16:55:02","slug":"zero-covid-strategy-was-it-worth-it","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sitata.com\/hu\/zero-covid-strategy-was-it-erdemes-ez\/","title":{"rendered":"Z\u00e9r\u00f3 COVID strat\u00e9gia - Meg\u00e9rte?"},"content":{"rendered":"

A COVID-19 vil\u00e1gj\u00e1rv\u00e1ny idej\u00e9n K\u00edna nagyszab\u00e1s\u00fa k\u00eds\u00e9rletet folytatott, hogy kider\u00edtse, lehets\u00e9ges-e a v\u00edrus terjed\u00e9s\u00e9t az orsz\u00e1gon bel\u00fcl megf\u00e9kezni, \u00e9s megakad\u00e1lyozni, hogy a k\u00fclf\u00f6ldr\u0151l \u00e9rkez\u0151 utasok bejussanak az orsz\u00e1gba. Az esem\u00e9nyek alakul\u00e1sa sor\u00e1n a megk\u00f6zel\u00edt\u00e9s a \"z\u00e9r\u00f3 COVID-strat\u00e9gia\" n\u00e9ven v\u00e1lt ismertt\u00e9. M\u0171k\u00f6d\u00f6tt? A v\u00e1lasz az, hogy nagyj\u00e1b\u00f3l, de a strat\u00e9gia elind\u00edt\u00e1sakor el\u0151re nem l\u00e1that\u00f3 k\u00f6vetkezm\u00e9nyek miatt fel kellett hagyni vele.<\/p>\n

De el\u0151sz\u00f6r n\u00e9zz\u00fck meg a \"nulla COVID-strat\u00e9gi\u00e1t\" alkot\u00f3 konkr\u00e9t int\u00e9zked\u00e9seket. Ehhez eg\u00e9szen 2020 janu\u00e1rj\u00e1ig kell visszamenn\u00fcnk, amikor K\u00edna r\u00e1j\u00f6tt, hogy Wuhan v\u00e1ros\u00e1ban 40 szokatlan s\u00falyos t\u00fcd\u0151gyullad\u00e1sos esetet kell jelenteni\u00fck. Ezek voltak a COVID-19 vil\u00e1gj\u00e1rv\u00e1ny els\u0151 hivatalosan bejelentett esetei, \u00e9s nagyon r\u00f6vid id\u0151n bel\u00fcl a betegs\u00e9get m\u00e1s orsz\u00e1gokba utaz\u00f3k is \u00e1tvitt\u00e9k. El\u00e9g gyorsan azonos\u00edtottak egy \u00faj \u00e9s \u00faj coronav\u00edrust, mint okoz\u00f3t, de keveset tudtak arr\u00f3l, hogy ez a v\u00edrus hogyan hat majd a lakoss\u00e1gra. Nyilv\u00e1nval\u00f3, hogy emberr\u0151l emberre terjedt, de milyen int\u00e9zked\u00e9sekkel lehetett megakad\u00e1lyozni a terjed\u00e9s\u00e9t?<\/p>\n

Felismerve, hogy a nemzetk\u00f6zi utaz\u00f3k terjesztik a betegs\u00e9get megy\u00e9r\u0151l orsz\u00e1gra, az egyes orsz\u00e1gok int\u00e9zked\u00e9seket hoztak, hogy megakad\u00e1lyozz\u00e1k vagy korl\u00e1tozz\u00e1k az emberek bel\u00e9p\u00e9s\u00e9t az orsz\u00e1gukba. Szinte minden orsz\u00e1gban bevezettek olyan int\u00e9zked\u00e9seket, mint a beutaz\u00e1si tilalom, vagy a rep\u00fcl\u0151g\u00e9pre val\u00f3 felsz\u00e1ll\u00e1s el\u0151tti COVID-tesztel\u00e9s el\u0151\u00edr\u00e1sa, vagy k\u00f6telez\u0151 karant\u00e9n bevezet\u00e9se a bel\u00e9p\u0151 utaz\u00f3k sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra.<\/p>\n

Ek\u00f6zben, amint rendelkez\u00e9sre \u00e1llt a v\u00edrusteszt, az orsz\u00e1gok int\u00e9zked\u00e9seket kezdem\u00e9nyeztek a bels\u0151 \u00e1tvitel meg\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00e1s\u00e1ra, p\u00e9ld\u00e1ul a t\u00e1rsadalmi t\u00e1vols\u00e1gtart\u00e1s el\u0151\u00edr\u00e1s\u00e1val, nyilv\u00e1nos l\u00e9tes\u00edtm\u00e9nyek bez\u00e1r\u00e1s\u00e1val, maszk visel\u00e9s\u00e9nek el\u0151\u00edr\u00e1s\u00e1val, betegs\u00e9g eset\u00e9n az \u00f6nszigetel\u00e9ssel, \u00e9s az emberek vizsg\u00e1latra val\u00f3 \u00f6szt\u00f6nz\u00e9s\u00e9vel.<\/p>\n

A hat\u00e9kony vakcin\u00e1k \u00e9s az \u00faj kezel\u00e9sek bevezet\u00e9se, amelyek dr\u00e1maian cs\u00f6kkentett\u00e9k a sz\u00f6v\u0151dm\u00e9nyeket, p\u00e9ld\u00e1ul a k\u00f3rh\u00e1zi kezel\u00e9st, az intenz\u00edv ell\u00e1t\u00e1st \u00e9s a hal\u00e1loz\u00e1st, megv\u00e1ltoztatta a dolgokat. A vil\u00e1gj\u00e1rv\u00e1ny kezelhet\u0151bb\u00e9 v\u00e1lt, \u00e9s cs\u00f6kkent a dr\u00e1mai int\u00e9zked\u00e9sek sz\u00fcks\u00e9gess\u00e9ge az utaz\u00f3k beutaz\u00e1s\u00e1nak korl\u00e1toz\u00e1s\u00e1ra \u00e9s a helyi terjed\u00e9s meg\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00e1s\u00e1ra.<\/p>\n

2022 k\u00f6zep\u00e9re, amikor a lakoss\u00e1g nagy r\u00e9sze a v\u00e9d\u0151olt\u00e1s r\u00e9v\u00e9n immuniz\u00e1l\u00f3dott, a v\u00edrus alacsony szint\u0171 terjed\u00e9s\u00e9vel, a k\u00f3rh\u00e1zi kezel\u00e9ssel \u00e9s a hal\u00e1lesetekkel szembeni bizonyos szint\u0171 tolerancia lehet\u0151v\u00e9 tette a korai v\u00e9dekez\u00e9si int\u00e9zked\u00e9sek szinte teljes megsz\u00fcntet\u00e9s\u00e9t.<\/p>\n

Hogyan \u00e1llt K\u00edna mindebben?<\/p>\n

M\u00e1r kor\u00e1n l\u00e9p\u00e9seket tettek a nemzetk\u00f6zi l\u00e9gi k\u00f6zleked\u00e9s, valamint a belf\u00f6ldi utaz\u00e1sok b\u00e1rmilyen k\u00f6zleked\u00e9si eszk\u00f6zzel t\u00f6rt\u00e9n\u0151 megsz\u00fcntet\u00e9s\u00e9re. Az olyan k\u00f6zeg\u00e9szs\u00e9g\u00fcgyi int\u00e9zked\u00e9seket, mint a t\u00e1rsadalmi t\u00e1vols\u00e1gtart\u00e1s, a lakoss\u00e1g mozg\u00e1s\u00e1nak korl\u00e1toz\u00e1sa, a karant\u00e9n \u00e9s a kiterjedt COVID-vizsg\u00e1lat, olyan intenzit\u00e1ssal hajtott\u00e1k v\u00e9gre, amilyenre m\u00e1s orsz\u00e1gokban nem volt p\u00e9lda. A kinyilv\u00e1n\u00edtott c\u00e9l az volt, hogy a v\u00edrus minden\u00fctt meg\u00e1ll\u00edtsa a v\u00edrus minden \u00e1tvitel\u00e9t. A \"lez\u00e1r\u00e1s\" koncepci\u00f3t gyakran eg\u00e9sz k\u00f6z\u00f6ss\u00e9gekre vagy ak\u00e1r v\u00e1rosokra is alkalmazt\u00e1k, \u00edgy minden mozg\u00e1st \u00e9s interakci\u00f3t le\u00e1ll\u00edtottak. Amikor a tesztel\u00e9s el\u00e9rhet\u0151v\u00e9 v\u00e1lt, eg\u00e9sz v\u00e1rosokat vetettek al\u00e1 COVID-tesztel\u00e9snek \u00e9s az azt k\u00f6vet\u0151 karant\u00e9nnak.<\/p>\n

Ha az emberek tesztje pozit\u00edv lett, fenn\u00e1llt a vesz\u00e9lye, hogy hetekre karant\u00e9nba ker\u00fclnek egy k\u00f3rh\u00e1zi szob\u00e1ban. Ha olyan \u00fczletbe vagy \u00e9tterembe mentek, amelyet COVID-pozit\u00edv szem\u00e9ly l\u00e1togatott meg, akkor hossz\u00fa id\u0151re egy karant\u00e9nk\u00f6zpontban kellett maradniuk, ahol sz\u0171k\u00f6s elhelyez\u00e9st biztos\u00edtottak. Vagy bez\u00e1rhatj\u00e1k a saj\u00e1t otthon\u00e1ba an\u00e9lk\u00fcl, hogy enged\u00e9lyt kapna a t\u00e1voz\u00e1sra, m\u00e9g az \u00e9lelmiszer beszerz\u00e9s\u00e9re is. Ugyanez az eredm\u00e9ny akkor is bek\u00f6vetkezhet, ha csak \u00fagy elhalad egy fert\u0151z\u00f6tt szem\u00e9ly mellett az utc\u00e1n.<\/p>\n

Ha karant\u00e9nba z\u00e1rt\u00e1k, a szabadul\u00e1sa ut\u00e1n gyakran diszkrimin\u00e1ci\u00f3nak volt kit\u00e9ve.<\/p>\n

A tesztel\u00e9s minden\u00fctt jelen van. Az olyan nagyv\u00e1rosokban, mint Peking, Sanghaj vagy Sencsen, ahol t\u00f6bb t\u00edzmilli\u00f3 ember lakik, az embereket k\u00e9t-h\u00e1rom naponta kellett megvizsg\u00e1lni a j\u00e1rd\u00e1n elhelyezett f\u00fclk\u00e9kben. A megfelel\u0151s\u00e9get a mobiltelefonon l\u00e9v\u0151 eg\u00e9szs\u00e9g\u00fcgyi k\u00f3dokon kereszt\u00fcl k\u00f6vett\u00e9k nyomon.<\/p>\n

Bevezett\u00e9k a k\u00ednai gy\u00e1rt\u00e1s\u00fa COVID vakcin\u00e1kat, \u00e9s t\u00f6bb mint 3 milli\u00e1rd adagot adtak be. A vizsg\u00e1latok azonban azt mutatt\u00e1k, hogy a leggyakrabban haszn\u00e1lt vakcin\u00e1k 51% hat\u00e9kony (CoronaVac) \u00e9s 79% hat\u00e9kony (Sinopharm), ami l\u00e9nyegesen alacsonyabb, mint a sok m\u00e1s orsz\u00e1gban \u00e1ltal\u00e1nosan haszn\u00e1lt Moderna \u00e9s Pfizer vakcin\u00e1k\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Visszat\u00e9rve az eredeti k\u00e9rd\u00e9shez: bev\u00e1ltak-e ezek a kem\u00e9ny int\u00e9zked\u00e9sek?<\/p>\n

A v\u00e1lasz az, hogy 2020 \u00e9s 2021 folyam\u00e1n nem voltak jelent\u0151s fert\u0151z\u00e9skit\u00f6r\u00e9sek vagy \"hull\u00e1mok\". N\u00e9zze meg ezt a t\u00e1bl\u00e1zatot:<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n
Orsz\u00e1g<\/td>\nAz esetek sz\u00e1ma 100 000 f\u0151re vet\u00edtve<\/td>\nHal\u00e1lesetek sz\u00e1ma 100 000 f\u0151re vet\u00edtve<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
K\u00edna<\/td>\n75<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
USA<\/td>\n30,400<\/td>\n331<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<\/p>\n

\u00d6sszess\u00e9g\u00e9ben K\u00edna 2023. janu\u00e1r 5-ig mintegy 10,5 milli\u00f3 megbeteged\u00e9st \u00e9s 32 700 hal\u00e1lesetet jelentett. Ugyanebben az id\u0151szakban az USA 101 milli\u00f3 megbeteged\u00e9st \u00e9s 1,1 milli\u00f3 hal\u00e1lesetet regisztr\u00e1lt.<\/p>\n

B\u00e1r a k\u00ednai adatok megb\u00edzhat\u00f3s\u00e1g\u00e1t \u00e9s pontoss\u00e1g\u00e1t gyakran megk\u00e9rd\u0151jelezik, a k\u00e9t orsz\u00e1g k\u00f6z\u00f6tti k\u00fcl\u00f6nbs\u00e9gek \u00e9s a k\u00fcl\u00f6nb\u00f6z\u0151 strat\u00e9gi\u00e1k eredm\u00e9nyei jelent\u0151sen elt\u00e9rnek egym\u00e1st\u00f3l.<\/p>\n

De vajon fenntarthat\u00f3-e K\u00edna null\u00e1s strat\u00e9gi\u00e1ja? \u00c9pp most t\u00f6rt meg. N\u00e9h\u00e1ny h\u00e9ttel ezel\u0151tt Hszincsiang v\u00e1ros\u00e1ban egy lez\u00e1rt, karant\u00e9n al\u00e1 helyezett lak\u00f3h\u00e1zban keletkezett t\u0171z 10 embert \u00f6lt meg. A lakoss\u00e1gban felgy\u00fclemlett frusztr\u00e1ci\u00f3 a korl\u00e1toz\u00f3 ellen\u0151rz\u0151 int\u00e9zked\u00e9sek miatt forrongott. Sz\u00e1mos v\u00e1rosban nyilv\u00e1nos t\u00fcntet\u00e9sek voltak, amelyek megk\u00e9rd\u0151jelezt\u00e9k a folyamatos z\u00e1rlatok, a kiterjedt vizsg\u00e1latok \u00e9s a karant\u00e9n sz\u00fcks\u00e9gess\u00e9g\u00e9t. A lakoss\u00e1g a korm\u00e1ny nulla COVID-strat\u00e9gi\u00e1j\u00e1nak megsz\u00fcntet\u00e9s\u00e9t k\u00f6vetelte. A szigor\u00fa korl\u00e1toz\u00e1sok gazdas\u00e1gi k\u00f6lts\u00e9gei (pl. bez\u00e1rt v\u00e1llalkoz\u00e1sok, munkan\u00e9lk\u00fclis\u00e9g stb.) szint\u00e9n elviselhetetlenn\u00e9 v\u00e1ltak.<\/p>\n

2021. december elej\u00e9n K\u00edna dr\u00e1mai k\u00f6vetkezm\u00e9nyekkel j\u00e1rt, amikor megford\u00edtotta a nulla COVID-strat\u00e9gi\u00e1j\u00e1t. A null\u00e1s strat\u00e9gi\u00e1ban szerepl\u0151 szinte valamennyi int\u00e9zked\u00e9st szinte egyik napr\u00f3l a m\u00e1sikra felf\u00fcggesztett\u00e9k. Ennek eredm\u00e9nyek\u00e9ppen K\u00edn\u00e1ban p\u00e9ld\u00e1tlanul megugrott az esetek sz\u00e1ma. B\u00e1r az adatok megk\u00e9rd\u0151jelezhet\u0151ek, a jelent\u00e9sek szerint a december 25-\u00e9n v\u00e9get \u00e9rt h\u00e9ten 15 161 \u00faj k\u00f3rh\u00e1zi esetet regisztr\u00e1ltak a k\u00ednai sz\u00e1razf\u00f6ld\u00f6n, a janu\u00e1r 1-j\u00e9n v\u00e9get \u00e9rt h\u00e9ten pedig 22 416-ot. A hivatalos hal\u00e1lesetek sz\u00e1ma aluljelentett, de a kremat\u00f3riumok arr\u00f3l sz\u00e1molnak be, hogy el\u00e1rasztott\u00e1k \u0151ket a holttestek.<\/p>\n

Mi\u00e9rt t\u00f6rt\u00e9nt ez? Felt\u00e9telezhetj\u00fck, hogy a COVID robban\u00e1s\u00e1hoz t\u00f6bb t\u00e9nyez\u0151 egy\u00fcttesen j\u00e1rult hozz\u00e1. Egyr\u00e9szt a nagyon korl\u00e1toz\u00f3 int\u00e9zked\u00e9sek hirtelen felold\u00e1sa a fert\u0151z\u00f6tt \u00e9s nem fert\u0151z\u00f6tt emberek azonnali kevered\u00e9s\u00e9hez vezetett, pl. csal\u00e1degyes\u00edt\u00e9s, m\u00e1s v\u00e1rosokba val\u00f3 utaz\u00e1s, nyilv\u00e1nos \u00f6sszej\u00f6vetelek stb. - amelyek mind megn\u00f6velt\u00e9k a v\u00edrus \u00e1tvitel\u00e9nek kock\u00e1zat\u00e1t. Emellett a lakoss\u00e1g nagy r\u00e9sze nem volt v\u00e9dett az alacsony hat\u00e9konys\u00e1g\u00fa vakcin\u00e1k miatt.<\/p>\n

V\u00e9g\u00fcl, mit jelent a jelenlegi k\u00ednai helyzet a t\u00f6bbi orsz\u00e1g sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra? Egyr\u00e9szt az \u00faj COVID-19-es esetek hatalmas hull\u00e1ma minden \u00faj v\u00edrusv\u00e1ltozatot terjeszteni fog, ahogy a k\u00ednai lakoss\u00e1g nemzetk\u00f6zi utaz\u00e1sai sor\u00e1n. Ezenk\u00edv\u00fcl a nagysz\u00e1m\u00fa v\u00edrus\u00e1tvitel lehet\u0151s\u00e9get biztos\u00edt a v\u00edrusnak \u00faj v\u00e1ltozatok kifejleszt\u00e9s\u00e9re. Jelenleg azonban az Eg\u00e9szs\u00e9g\u00fcgyi Vil\u00e1gszervezet, valamint az eg\u00e9szs\u00e9g\u00fcgyi \u00e9s korm\u00e1nyzati tisztvisel\u0151k vil\u00e1gszerte pr\u00f3b\u00e1lj\u00e1k felm\u00e9rni a k\u00ednai COVID-19 probl\u00e9ma \u00e1ltal okozott kock\u00e1zat(ok)at.<\/p>\n

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\n\t\t[\/et_pb_section]<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A COVID-19 vil\u00e1gj\u00e1rv\u00e1ny idej\u00e9n K\u00edna nagyszab\u00e1s\u00fa k\u00eds\u00e9rletet folytatott, hogy kider\u00edtse, lehets\u00e9ges-e a v\u00edrus terjed\u00e9s\u00e9t az orsz\u00e1gon bel\u00fcl megf\u00e9kezni, \u00e9s megakad\u00e1lyozni, hogy a k\u00fclf\u00f6ldr\u0151l \u00e9rkez\u0151 utaz\u00f3k bejussanak az orsz\u00e1gba. Az esem\u00e9nyek alakul\u00e1sa sor\u00e1n a megk\u00f6zel\u00edt\u00e9s a \"z\u00e9r\u00f3 COVID-strat\u00e9gia\" n\u00e9ven v\u00e1lt ismertt\u00e9. M\u0171k\u00f6d\u00f6tt? A v\u00e1lasz egyfajta [...]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":83478,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"\n

During the COVID-19 pandemic, China conducted a massive experiment to see if it were possible to contain transmission of this virus within the country and keep it from getting into the country by travellers from abroad. As events unfolded, the approach became known as the \u201czero COVID strategy\u201d. Did it work? The answer is sort of but it had to be abandoned due to consequences that could not be predicted when the strategy was started.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But first, let\u2019s look at the specific measures that made up the \u201czero COVID strategy\u201d. For that, we have to go way back to January 2020 when China realized that they had to report the occurrence of 40 unusual cases of severe pneumonia in the city of Wuhan. They were the first officially reported cases of the COVID-19 pandemic, and very shortly, the disease was carried by travellers to other countries. A new and novel coronavirus was identified rather rapidly as the cause, but little was known about how this virus would affect the population. Clearly, it was transmitted from person-to-person, but what measures could be taken to stop it from spreading?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Realizing that international travellers were spreading the disease from county to country, individual countries instituted measures to stop or limit people from entering their countries. Measures such as banning entry, or requiring COVID testing before boarding aeroplanes, or establishing mandatory quarantine for entering travellers were established in nearly all countries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, once a test for the virus was available, countries initiated measures to stop internal transmission, e.g., mandating social distancing, closing public establishments, mandating mask-wearing, self-isolation if ill, and urging people to get tested.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The introduction of effective vaccines and new treatments that dramatically reduced complications such as hospitalization, intensive care and death changed things. The pandemic became more manageable and the need for dramatic measures to restrict travellers from entering and for stopping local transmission was reduced.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

By mid-2022, with large segments of the population immunized through vaccination, a certain level of tolerance for low levels of transmission of the virus, hospitalization and death allowed for the discontinuance of almost all the early control measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So how did China fare in all of this?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Early on, steps were taken to nearly eliminate international air travel as well as domestic travel by any means of transportation. The public health measures such as social distancing, limitations on population movement, quarantine and extensive COVID testing were implemented with an intensity not seen in other countries. The stated goal was to stop all transmission of the virus everywhere. A \u201clockdown\u201d concept was often applied to entire communities or even cities, such that all movement and interactions were stopped. When testing became available, entire cities were submitted to COVID testing and subsequent quarantine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If people tested positive, there was a risk that they would be quarantined for weeks in a hospital room. If you went to a store or restaurant that had been visited by a COVID-positive person, you could be required to stay at a quarantine centre with sparse accommodations for a long time. Or you might be locked up in your own home without permission to leave, even to secure food. The same result could happen if you just passed an infected person on the street.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If you had been locked up in quarantine, you were often subjected to discrimination after your release.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Testing became ubiquitous. In large cities such as Beijing, Shanghai or Shenzhen with populations of tens of millions of people, people were required to be tested every two or three days at sidewalk booths. Compliance was tracked through health codes on your cell phone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chinese-produced COVID vaccines were introduced and more than 3 billion doses were administered. However, studies showed that the most commonly used vaccines were 51% effective (CoronaVac) and 79% effective (Sinopharm) which is considerably lower than the commonly used Moderna and Pfizer vaccines in many other countries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Back to the original question: did all these harsh measures work?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The answer is that there were no significant outbreaks or \u201cwaves\u201d of infection throughout 2020 and 2021. Check out this table:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Country<\/td>Number of Cases per100,000 People<\/td>Number of Deaths peer100,000 people<\/td><\/tr>
China<\/td>75<\/td>2<\/td><\/tr>
USA<\/td>30,400<\/td>331<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Overall, China reported approximately 10.5 million cases and 32,700 deaths through 5 January 2023.  In the same time period, the USA recorded 101 million cases and 1.1 million deaths.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the reliability and accuracy of Chinese data are often questioned, differences between the two countries and the results of their different strategies are considerably different.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But is China\u2019s zero strategy sustainable? It just broke. Several weeks ago, in the city of Xinjiang, a fire in a locked quarantined apartment building killed 10 people. Accumulated frustration in the population with the restrictive control measures boiled over. There were public demonstrations in many cities questioning the need for ongoing lockdowns and extensive testing and quarantine. The population demanded the end to the government\u2019s zero COVID strategy. The economic costs of severe restrictions (e.g., closed businesses, unemployment, etc.) also have become unbearable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In early December 2021, China reversed its zero COVID strategy with dramatic repercussions. Nearly all of the measures in the zero strategy were suspended almost overnight. As a result, China is experiencing an unprecedented surge in cases. Although the data are questionable, there are reports of almost a 50% increase, from 15,161 new hospitalizations for mainland China during the week ending December 25 to 22,416 for the week ending January 1. The official death count is underreported but crematoria report that they are inundated with bodies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why did this happen? We can speculate that a combination of factors contributed to this explosion of COVID. On one hand, the sudden lifting of very restrictive measures led to an immediate mixing of infected and uninfected people, e.g., the reunification of families, travel to other cities, public gatherings, etc. \u2013 all of which increased the risk of transmission of the virus. In addition, large portions of the population were not protected due to vaccines with low levels of effectiveness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finally, what does the current China situation mean for all the other countries? On one hand, a huge wave of new COVID-19 cases will spread any new virus variants as the Chinese population travels internationally. In addition, large numbers of virus transmission provide the virus with opportunities to develop new variants. But right now, the World Health Organization and health and government officials worldwide are trying to assess the risk(s) created by China\u2019s COVID-19 problem.<\/p>\n","_et_gb_content_width":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[155,156,20],"tags":[108,109,145,112,113,22,229],"yoast_head":"\nZero COVID Strategy- Was it Worth it?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"let\u2019s look at the specific measures that made up the \u201czero COVID strategy\u201d. 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