Venezuela’s Political Crisis: A Nation in Turmoil

Written by Mahima Chhaparia

October 17, 2024

Situation Room

Disclaimer: The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views, opinions, or positions of any other individual, organization, or entity.

The Situation

The political crisis in Venezuela has been brewing since 2013, when President Nicolás Maduro succeeded Hugo Chávez. His presidency has been met with widespread resistance through major protests, most notably in February 2014, September 2016, and April 2017. However, these demonstrations failed to compel him to engage in negotiations. Instead, his administration responded with increasingly harsh and repressive tactics, escalating its crackdown on dissent. Maduro’s regime systematically undermined democratic processes, exemplified by the disempowerment of the National Assembly and the establishment of a pro-government National Constituent Assembly. Lacking popular support, Maduro’s re-election in 2018 was widely criticized for alleged electoral fraud and led to the National Assembly appointing Juan Guaidó as interim leader, receiving recognition from over 50 governments. However, Maduro retained power through violent repression and military backing, demonstrating intense authoritarianism.

In July 2024, Maduro secured another term, sparking fresh unrest and escalating repression. The opposition, led by Maria Corina Machado, claims that their candidate, Edmundo Gonzalez, won the election, accusing the National Electoral Council (CNE) of declaring Nicolás Maduro the victor through fraudulent results. The opposition has published 84% of ballots that they claim prove Gonzalez’s victory, while the government insists these are falsified.

With this rising unrest and increasingly widespread human rights abuses, the situation has become increasingly dangerous.

Heightened Instability and Human Rights Violations

Over 2,000 individuals have been detained since the July elections, with more than 100 teenagers charged with terrorism. In response, Maduro has announced the construction of new prisons to “re-educate” those opposing his rule. With the lack of transparency regarding these arrests, increasing concerns have been raised about ongoing human rights violations and political persecution. A recent United Nations report shone a light on the increased repression of political opponents in Venezuela, with the Maduro regime resorting to arbitrary arrests with opposition members, human rights defenders, and ordinary citizens deemed a “political risk.” At least 25 individuals were killed, indicating the use of lethal force against protesters. Evidence also suggested the involvement of armed civilians during the protests, as well as members of the Bolivarian National Guard engaging in violent suppression.

On 17 August, Machado called for a massive “Global Protest” to denounce the CNE’s results and demand transparency. She rallied both Venezuelans in the country and the diaspora to unite under the banner of the “Great World Protest for the Truth.” Despite the risks, many Venezuelans took to the streets, some speaking anonymously about the fear of repression under Maduro’s regime. Armed paramilitary groups, known as “colectivos,” were seen patrolling areas in the nation to intimidate protesters.

On September 28, they came together again for the “Gran Protesta Mundial por la Libertad de Venezuela (Great Global Protest for Freedom in Venezuela)” to let known the unbending will of the Venezuelan people. Despite being relentlessly targeted by the regime, María Corina Machado emphasizes the significance of unity among Venezuelans during this pivotal time. Each protest serves as a powerful testament to the enduring spirit and resilience of the people as they confront repression and hardship. 

This intensifying crackdown makes navigating the country even riskier for travellers, especially those who could be perceived as politically active or critical of the government.

Is It Safe to Travel to Venezuela in 2024 or 2025?

Street protests are particularly common in the capital, Caracas. These protests often start peacefully but can quickly turn violent as security forces crack down on demonstrators with tear gas, water cannons, and rubber bullets. Even regions not typically associated with unrest, such as tourist hubs, are not immune to sudden roadblocks or mass gatherings.

Travel to Venezuela is currently classified as high-risk by most countries. The combination of civil unrest, political instability, and widespread crime, increased by economic hardships, means that even routine travel can be fraught with danger. 

If travel to Venezuela is necessary, it’s crucial to take stringent safety precautions. Stick to well-known routes and avoid travelling alone. Constantly monitor local news and advisories for updates, as the situation can deteriorate quickly without warning.

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